Alex Rodriguez has 604 Home Runs. He’s 35 years, 28 days old, and stands 158 home runs away from the all-time home run leader, Barry Bonds (762HR). The thing about Bonds is, as he got older, his home run rate increased tremendously. Bonds played his last game when he was 43 years old, on September 26, 2007.
Alex became the youngest player to ever hit 600 home runs, so he’s at a good pace now. If Alex Rodriguez wants to break the all-time home run record, I don’t see what would be stopping him. Injuries are always a cause for concern, but he’s ahead of the pack. There’s no reason to believe that he would just completely fall off the charts and stop hitting home runs. If he wants to put the years in, he can do it.
Craig Calcaterra makes a few good points:
A-Rod is under contract through 2017. If he stays on his current pace for the rest of the reason, he’d finish with around 26 or 27 homers for 2010, putting him 152 or 153 homers shy of a new home run record.
Thus, Rodriguez would only have to average around 21-22 homers a year between now and the end of his deal to break the record. I find that eminently doable.
What do you guys think? Will he break the record?