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Posts Tagged ‘Jake Arrieta’

The Yankees open up a three game series tonight against the Baltimore Orioles. Here are the pitching probables for the series:

Mon: RHP Ivan Nova (0-0, 0.00) vs LHP Brian Matusz (0-0, 0.00)

Tue: RHP Freddy Garcia (0-0, 0.00) vs LHP Wei-Yin Chen (0-0, 0.00)

Wed: LHP CC Sabathia (0-0, 7.50) vs RHP Jake Arrieta (1-0, 0.00)

Photo by The Associated Press

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The Yankees open up a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here are the pitching probables for the series:

Fri: LHP CC Sabathia (0-1, 2.52) vs RHP Brad Bergesen (0-2, 3.38)

Sat: RHP Freddy Garcia (1-0, 1.29) vs RHP Chris Tillman (0-2, 6.16)

Sun: RHP Ivan Nova (1-2, 7.63) vs RHP Jake Arrieta (2-1, 5.06)

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This was supposed to be a three-game series, but yesterday’s rainout only leaves the team with two against the Orioles. These games will take place at Yankee Stadium. Here are the pitching probables for the series:

Wed: RHP A.J. Burnett (2-0, 4.09) vs RHP Chris Tillman (0-0, 3.38)

Thurs: RHP Phil Hughes (0-1, 16.50) vs RHP Jake Arrieta (1-1, 8.68)

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The 2011 Yankees work out during Spring Training

It’s that time of year. Spring training games are underway and baseball fans everywhere are having heated discussions about who will finish where. It’s kind of silly, really. As any Yankee fan can tell you, “You can’t predict baseball.” Still, we make the effort – never mind that mid-season injuries, trades and call-ups always alter the picture. Add in the players who have break-out years (seriously, who thought Jose Bautista would slug 54 homers in 2010?) or unexpectedly terrible ones (think Carlos Lee), and predicting anything this time of year becomes an exercise in futility. But it is a fun exercise, so here I go.

I’ll start by posting the expected finish of team, including record. How did I come to this? I ran 100 season simulations, based on a program I originally wrote for picking football games. Of course, this assumes I’ve correctly guessed every team’s roster on Opening Day and that nobody suffers a significant injury. It’s worked well for me in picking the NFL (as those of you who followed my picks on Twitter last year probably know), but this is the first time I’ve ever tried it in baseball. By the way, the division names double as links, you can hit them to get to a more in-depth prognostication.

AL East

  1. New York Yankees,     105-57    0 GB
  2. Boston Red Sox,     105-57    0 GB
  3. Tampa Bay Rays    95-67    10 GB
  4. Baltimore Orioles    94-68    11 GB
  5. Toronto Blue Jays    67-95    38 GB

AL Central

  1. Minnesota Twins    87-75    0 GB
  2. Chicago White Sox    84-78     3 GB
  3. Detroit Tigers        71-91    16 GB
  4. Kansas City Royals    55-97    32 GB
  5. Cleveland Indians    45-107    42 GB

AL West

  1. Oakland A’s        97-95     0 GB
  2. Texas Rangers        85-77    12 GB
  3. Anaheim Angels    83-79    14 GB
  4. Seattle Mariners    64-98    33 GB

Yes, the AL East is that good. And yes, Cleveland is that bad.

Season’s biggest surprise: The Oriole starting rotation. I know, you probably think I lost my mind. But the O’s may have the best stable of young arms in the league, with Jake Arrieta (25), Brian Matusz (24), Brad Bergesen (25) and Chris Tillman(23). Add in a resurgent Justin Duchscherer and the steady Jeremy Guthrie, and that’s a lot of promise.

Season’s biggest bust: Texas. They’re really going to miss not re-signing Cliff Lee. Not to mention the whole Michael Young saga is a great case study in how to blow up team chemistry.

MVP candidate: Robinson Cano. If you thought last year was special, you ain’t seen nothing yet.

CY Young Candidate: Since this award seems given to somebody from a losing team lately, I’ll stay with the trend. Here’s a vote for Joakim Soria.

As always, I look forward to your feedback. And…PLAY BALL!!!

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Orioles (52-86) at Yankees (86-52)

Pitching Matchup:

LHP C.C. Sabathia (19-5, 3.02) vs RHP Jake Arrieta (4-6, 5.11)

Lineup

Gardner LF
Jeter SS
Teixeira 1B
Cano 2B
Swisher RF
Berkman DH
Posada C
Granderson CF
Pena 3B (more…)

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The Yankees open up a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles today. They’ll be playing at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Here are the pitching probables for the series:

Mon: RHP A.J. Burnett (10-12, 5.15) vs LHP Brian Matusz (7-12, 4.72)

Tue: LHP C.C. Sabathia (19-5, 3.02) vs RHP Jake Arrieta (4-6, 5.11)

Wed: RHP Ivan Nova (1-0, 2.89) vs RHP Brad Bergesen (6-10, 5.47)

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Yankees (37-22) at Orioles (16-43)

Pitching Matchup 

RHP A.J. Burnett (6-3, 3.72) vs RHP Jake Arrieta (0-0, 0.00)

Lineup 

Jeter SS
Swisher RF
Teixeira 1B
Rodriguez 3B
Cano 2B
Posada DH
Granderson CF
Thames LF
Moeller C (more…)

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