Justin over at SeatGeek.com has calculated the numbers, and has shown us where A-Rod’s 600th Home Run is most likely to land. Check it out: (All Courtesy of SeatGeek.com)
A-Rod’s 600th Home Run: The Prediction
Hit Tracker tracks the trajectory of every home run in the MLB to accurately project the ball’s distance and landing location. The founder, Greg Rybarczyk, looks at the angle the ball came off the bat, the angle of elevation, bat speed, wind, and other factors to trace each flight path.
Based on the aforementioned variables and A-Rod’s historical home run data across the last 4.5 seasons, Greg was able to create a probability density function to determine a section-by-section analysis for A-Rod’s 600th home run ball landing path. If you want the best chance to catch the ball, we suggest you grab a seat in one of the sections with the highest probability as outlined in the chart below.
The most likely sections at Yankee Stadium are: 1. Section 136 (9% chance) 2. Section 135 (7.8% chance) 3. Section 134 (6.9% chance) 4. Section 235 (4.7% chance) 5. Section 236 (3.9% chance)
A-Rod’s 600th Home Run: “The Money Seat”
With their database of Alex Rodriguez’s historical home runs, Hit Tracker was able to look at the average path of his home runs to determine where he will hit his 600th home run. Below is the most likely path for A-Rod’s 600th home run in Yankee Stadium, with the ball forecasted to land in Section 135, Row 18, Seat 6. The fan in the “The Money Seat” has the highest probability of catching the ball! Please note that even though Section 136 has the highest probability by section, the single most likely seat is located in Section 135 – this is primarily due to the fact that Section 136 ranges 4-6 seats wider per row than Section 135.
Yankee Stadium: A-Rod 600th HR Most Likely Landing Spot and Trajectory
Historically, seats in the most likely sections for A-Rod’s 600th to land have transacted significantly above the season average ticket price at Yankee Stadium. “The Money Seat” section has the highest average transaction ticket prices of the three at 65% over the season average (section 136 is 59% above the season average). Note: as a % of face value, sections 134, 135, and 136 are 121%, 151%, and 134% on average.
(All Courtesy of SeatGeek.com)
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M. B. Rozell
Kevin Rozell
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